Critical-interval validation before robot rollouts
Manipulation teams should add a validation pass that scores policy errors only during grasp, contact, insertion, fine alignment, and similar task-critical segments. Critical Interval MSE shows a concrete recipe: label the critical timesteps, apply the same action execution procedure used at rollout time, align predicted and expert action sequences with local dynamic time warping, and compare model variants on that filtered error.
This is useful for teams training many nearby checkpoints where physical rollouts are too slow or too variable to run for every change. On LBM-Eval, CI-MSE reached Spearman ρ = -0.87 against rollout success, compared with -0.61 for raw MSE. The cheap adoption test is to take a past set of checkpoints with known rollout outcomes, annotate the contact-heavy intervals in held-out demonstrations, and check whether the new ranking matches the hardware ranking better than raw validation loss.